SPY


2015-05-07 ORM Market Commentary (Option Trade Idea On The S&P 500 After Today’s Bounce)

Posted on May 7th, by Mitchell Warren in Options Risk Management, ORM Market Commentary, Premium Articles, Trade Ideas. Comments Off on 2015-05-07 ORM Market Commentary (Option Trade Idea On The S&P 500 After Today’s Bounce)

ORM Market Commentary
Option Trade Idea On The S&P 500 After Today’s Bounce

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2015-03-07 Weekend Market Update (Stocks Retrace From Record Highs After Jobs Report)

Posted on March 7th, by Mitchell Warren in Free Articles, Options Risk Management, ORM Market Commentary, Premium Articles, Weekend Market Updates. Comments Off on 2015-03-07 Weekend Market Update (Stocks Retrace From Record Highs After Jobs Report)

Weekend Market Update
Stocks Retrace From Record Highs After Jobs Report

Notable List Of Equities/ETFs I’m Tracking With Unusual Options Activity

Applied Materials (AMAT)- Massive open interest in the Apr 17 (monthly expiration) $23-$27 calls due to call purchases and bull call spreads in recent months. A buyer of 13,300 Apr 17 $25 calls for $0.75 each on February 3rd sent open interest above the 100,000 mark.
Air Products & Chemicals (APD)- A rollout from 2,460 June $145 calls ($13.70 credit) into 2,460 Sep $155 calls ($9.50 debit) on February 25th. Trader took profits on the June calls, but still sees upside north of $165 by September options expiration.
Boardwalk Pipeline Partners (BWP)- A rollout from 125,000 Mar $17 calls ($0.65 credit) into 45,000 Sep $18 calls ($1.70 debit) on February 19th and a rollout from 15,000 Jan 2015 $16 calls ($0.75 credit) … Read More »


2015-02-14 Weekend Market Update (Looking At Near-Term Upside Potential In The S&P 500)

Posted on February 14th, by Mitchell Warren in Free Articles, Options Risk Management, Weekend Market Updates. Comments Off on 2015-02-14 Weekend Market Update (Looking At Near-Term Upside Potential In The S&P 500)

Weekend Market Update
Looking At Near-Term Upside Potential In The S&P 500

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) Options Trade Ideas

Buy the (SPY) Mar 20 $210 call for $3.15 or better

Stop loss- $1.45

1st upside target- $6.00

2nd upside target- $8.00

And/Or

Sell the (SPY) Mar 20 $204/$205 bull put spread for a $0.20 credit or better

(Sell the Mar 20 $205 put and buy the Mar 20 $204 put, all in one trade)

Stop loss reference- A move below $205 in the ETF

Upside target- $0.05 or less

Maximum gain potential- 25%

Notes: I’m long (BGCP) shares for $9.14 each and Aug $7.50 calls for $1.80 each.

Domtar Holdings (UFS) Options Trade Idea

Buy the (UFS) Apr $45/$50 … Read More »


2015-01-24 Weekend Market Update (The S&P 500 Rallies On The ECB QE Announcement)

Posted on January 24th, by Mitchell Warren in Free Articles, Options Risk Management, Weekend Market Updates. Comments Off on 2015-01-24 Weekend Market Update (The S&P 500 Rallies On The ECB QE Announcement)

Weekend Market Update
The S&P 500 Rallies On The ECB QE Announcement

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) Options Trade Ideas

Sell the (SPY) Feb 20 $187.50/$188.50 bull put spread for a $0.15 credit or better

(Sell the Feb 20 $188.50 put and buy the Feb 20 $187.50 put, all in one trade)

Stop loss reference- A move below $188.50 in the underlying

Upside target- $0.05 or less

Maximum gain potential- 17.6%

And/Or

Buy the (SPY) Feb 20 $205/$212 bull call spread for a $2.75 debit or better

(Buy the Feb 20 $205 call and sell the Feb 20 $212 call, all in one trade)

Stop loss- $0.95

1st upside target- $5.50

2nd upside target- A move in the underlying to $212-$215

Read More »


2014-12-26 Unusual Options Activity (BAC) (SPY)

Posted on December 26th, by Mitchell Warren in Options Risk Management, Unusual Options Activity. Comments Off on 2014-12-26 Unusual Options Activity (BAC) (SPY)

 Unusual Options Activity

In today’s Unusual Options Activity Report we highlight put selling in Bank of America (BAC) and call buying in the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY).

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What To Watch For Next In The S&P 500 (SPX)

Posted on July 31st, by Mitchell Warren in Free Articles, Options Risk Management, Trade Ideas. Comments Off on What To Watch For Next In The S&P 500 (SPX)

What To Watch For Next In The S&P 500 (SPX)

Summer Sale: From now until the end of August, annual memberships are only $225 (25% off of the regular $299.95 price). This is available for new and existing members. Check out our updated 2014 options performance page here (all stock trades are posted on the Weekend Market Updates).

1 On 1 Options Mentoring: Learn more about 1 on 1 options mentoring courses that help can you improve your trading odds and risk management skills.

Free Trial: If you would like to know more about premium content or would like a free trial of the service, email me at Mitchell@OptionsRiskManagement.com .

Premium Subscription: Join now to gain access to the all of the stock watchlist updates (30-50 stock and option trade ideas like the one above every week), unusual options activity reports, earnings … Read More »


2014-03-06 Smart Money Report (HP) (HRB)

Posted on March 6th, by Mitchell Warren in Free Articles, Options Risk Management, Smart Money Report, Unusual Options Activity. Comments Off on 2014-03-06 Smart Money Report (HP) (HRB)

Smart Money Report

HRB- H&R Block is set to announce Q3 earnings after the bell tonight. Analysts are looking for -$0.11 in EPS and revenue of $519 million. Option traders are pricing in a $2.15 move, or 6.86%, in either direction through Mar. options expiration. The put to call ratio in (HRB) options is currently 6.98, led by large selling in the Mar. 2014 $30 puts. The stock has declined after reporting earnings on the three previous reports.
HP- Over 12k Mar. $95 puts were purchased for $0.55-$0.60 each, against open interest of 435 contracts.
RFMD- Over 3,000 May $8 calls were bought for $0.35 each, against open interest of 966 contracts.
SPY- A rollout from 39,350 Mar. $184 calls (credit) into 39,350 Apr. $190 calls (debit). Volume was below the open interest in both options.
WWE- 12k July $40 calls were bought for $1.75 … Read More »


2014-03-06 Unusual Options Activity (RFMD) (SPY)

Posted on March 6th, by Mitchell Warren in Options Risk Management, Unusual Options Activity. Comments Off on 2014-03-06 Unusual Options Activity (RFMD) (SPY)

 Unusual Options Activity

In today’s Unusual Options Activity Report we highlight call buying in RF Micro Devices (RFMD) and a call rollout in the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY).

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2014-03-04 Smart Money Report (CAVM) (CSIQ)

Posted on March 4th, by Mitchell Warren in Free Articles, Options Risk Management, Smart Money Report, Unusual Options Activity. Comments Off on 2014-03-04 Smart Money Report (CAVM) (CSIQ)

Smart Money Report

CSIQ- Canadian Solar is set to announce Q4 earnings before the bell tomorrow morning. Analysts are looking for $0.52 in EPS and revenue of $536 million. Option trader are pricing in a $5.90 move, or 13.64%, in either direction through Mar. options expiration. The call to put ratio in (CSIQ) options is currently 1.27, led by activity in Mar. $38 puts and Apr. $43 calls.
CAVM- A rollout from 6k Mar. $40 calls (credit) into 6k Apr. $46 calls (debit). Volume was above the open interest in the Apr. $46 calls.
IBN- 2,250 June $36 puts were bought for $2.93 each, against open interest of 97 contracts.
S- A rollout from 25k Mar. $9 calls (credit) into 25k Apr. $9 calls (debit). Volume was above the open interest in the Apr. $9 calls.
SPY- The S&P 500 ETF is set to close … Read More »


2014-02-28 Smart Money Report (ROC) (SPY)

Posted on February 28th, by Mitchell Warren in Free Articles, Options Risk Management, Smart Money Report, Unusual Options Activity. Comments Off on 2014-02-28 Smart Money Report (ROC) (SPY)

Smart Money Report

ROC- Rockwood Holdings is set to announce Q4 earnings on Monday, March 3rd. Analysts are looking for $0.34 in EPS and revenue of $342 million. Option traders are pricing in a $6.75 move, or 8.48%, in either direction through March options expiration. Call activity was over 18x the average daily volume, led by a rollout from 17k May $70 calls (credit) into 25k Aug. $90 calls (debit). Volume was above the open interest in the Aug. $90 calls.
HPQ- 4k May $34 calls were bought for $0.24-$0.27 each, against open interest of 1,486 contracts.
SPY- 20,800 Apr. $190 calls were bought for $1.28 each, against open interest of 150,501 contracts.
TEX- 2,500 July $44 puts were sold for $3.70 each, against open interest of 56 contracts.
TSLA- Tesla Motors shares are moving off of the all-time highs hit on Wednesday, dropping 2.21% … Read More »


2014-02-18 Smart Money Report (HLF) (PNRA)

Posted on February 18th, by Mitchell Warren in Free Articles, Options Risk Management, Smart Money Report, Unusual Options Activity. Comments Off on 2014-02-18 Smart Money Report (HLF) (PNRA)

Smart Money Report

HLF- Herbalife will report Q4 earnings after the bell tonight. Analysts are looking for $1.24 in EPS and revenue of $1.2 billion. The options market is implying a $4.28 move, or 6.29%, in either direction through Friday’s close. Call to put ratio in (HLF) options is currently 1.67. The stock has gapped higher the following morning on the three previous reports.
PNRA- Panera Bread is also set to announce Q4 earnings after the bell. Analysts are looking for $1.94 in EPS and revenue of $662 million. Option traders are pricing in a $12.60 move, or 7.09%, in either direction through Friday’s close. The put to call ratio in (PNRA) options is 1.25, led by activity in the Feb. $165 puts.
GDXJ- 5,000 Jan. 2015 $40 puts were sold for $5.22 each, against open interest of 504 contracts.
SGY- The Mar. $37/$42 … Read More »


2014-02-06 Smart Money Report (LGF) (LNKD)

Posted on February 6th, by Mitchell Warren in Free Articles, Options Risk Management, Smart Money Report, Unusual Options Activity. Comments Off on 2014-02-06 Smart Money Report (LGF) (LNKD)

Smart Money Report

LGF- Lions Gate Entertainment will report Q3 earnings after the bell tonight. Analysts are looking for $0.44 in EPS and revenue of $834 million. The options market is implying a $2.50 move, or 7.91%, in either direction through February options expiration. Call to put ratio in (LGF) options is currently 5.11.
LNKD- LinkedIn is also set to announce Q4 earnings after the bell tonight. Analysts are looking for $0.39 in EPS and revenue of $438 million. Option traders are pricing in a $22.75 move, or 10.28%, in either direction through Friday’s close. The call to put ratio in (LNKD) is 1.32.
EXPE- A rollout from 3k Feb. $65 puts (credit) into 3k Apr. $65 puts (debit). Volume was above the open interest in the Apr. $65 puts. Earnings are due out tonight.
FLR- More than 3,600 Mar. $82.50 calls were sold … Read More »


2014-02-03 Smart Money Report (KORS) (YUM)

Posted on February 3rd, by Mitchell Warren in Free Articles, Options Risk Management, Smart Money Report, Unusual Options Activity. Comments Off on 2014-02-03 Smart Money Report (KORS) (YUM)

Smart Money Report

KORS- Michael Kors will report Q3 earnings before the bell tomorrow morning. Analysts are looking for $0.86 in EPS and revenue of $861 million. The options market is implying a $7.85 move, or 10.16%, in either direction through Friday’s close. Call to put ratio in (KORS) options is currently 1.22.
YUM- Yum Brands is set to announce Q4 earnings after the bell tonight. Analysts are looking for $0.80 in EPS and revenue of $4.3 billion. Option traders are pricing in a $4.40 move, or 6.64%, in either direction through Friday’s close. The call to put ratio in (YUM) options is 1.15.
LB- The Jan. 2015 $42/$52/$62 bull call spread risk reversal was put on 4k times for a $0.85 debit. Volume was above the open interest in all three options. Earnings are due out on 2/26.
OUTR- The Mar. $50/$60 put … Read More »


2014-01-23 Smart Money Report (MSFT) (SBUX)

Posted on January 23rd, by Mitchell Warren in Free Articles, Options Risk Management, Smart Money Report, Unusual Options Activity. Comments Off on 2014-01-23 Smart Money Report (MSFT) (SBUX)

Smart Money Report

MSFT- Microsoft will report Q2 earnings after the bell tonight. Analysts are looking for $0.68 in EPS and revenue of $23.7 billion. The options market is implying a $1.56 move, or 4.38%, in either direction through Friday’s close. Call to put ratio in (MSFT) options is currently 1.14, led by a seller of 5,000 July $32 puts for $1.06 each.
SBUX- Starbucks is also set to announce Q1 earnings after the bell tonight. Analysts are looking for $0.69 in EPS and revenue of $4.3 billion. Option traders are pricing in a $3.62 move, or 4.96%, in either direction through Friday’s close. The call to put ratio in (SBUX) options is 2.02, led by a buyer of 400 Feb. 2014 $72.50 calls for $2.38 each.
ARMH- 8,300 Feb. $48 puts were sold for $1.75 each, against open interest of 817 contracts. … Read More »


2014-01-15 Smart Money Report (C) (CSX)

Posted on January 15th, by Mitchell Warren in Free Articles, Options Risk Management, Smart Money Report, Unusual Options Activity. Comments Off on 2014-01-15 Smart Money Report (C) (CSX)

 Smart Money Report

C- Citigroup will report Q4 earnings before the bell tomorrow morning. Analysts are looking for $0.97 in EPS and revenue of $18.3 billion. The options market is implying a $1.23 move, or 2.24%, in either direction through Friday’s close. Call to put ratio in (C) options is currently 1.35.
CSX- CSX is set to announce Q4 earnings after the bell tonight. Analysts are looking for $0.43 in EPS and revenue of $3 billion. Options traders are pricing in a $1.45 move, or 5.01%, in either direction through Friday’s close. The call to put ratio in (CSX) options is 1.56, led by a buyer of 1,500 May 2014 $27.50/$30 strangle for a $1.59 debit.
BRFS- 4,600 June $20 calls were purchased for $1.35 each, against open interest of 125 contracts.
INTC- The Feb. $26/$27 straddle was put on 10k times for a … Read More »


2014-01-01 1st Trading Day Of January Stats

Posted on January 1st, by Mitchell Warren in Options Risk Management, Trade Ideas, Tutorials. Comments Off on 2014-01-01 1st Trading Day Of January Stats

1st Trading Day Of January Stats

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2013-12-27 Smart Money Report (DOW) (XOM)

Posted on December 27th, by Mitchell Warren in Free Articles, Options Risk Management, Smart Money Report, Unusual Options Activity. Comments Off on 2013-12-27 Smart Money Report (DOW) (XOM)

Smart Money Report

DOW- 6,170 Jan. 2014 $44 calls were purchased for $1.46 each, against open interest of 66,564 contracts.
GRA- A rollout from 6,291 Mar. 2014 $90 puts (credit) into 5,034 June 2014 $90 puts (debit). Volume was above the open interest in June 2014 $90 puts.
SPY- A rollout from 6,023 Dec. 31 $184 calls (credit) into 6,023 Jan. 3 weekly $184.50 calls (debit). Volume was above the open interest in Jan. 3 weekly $184.50 calls.
XOM- 9,746 Jan. 2014 $100 puts were purchased for $0.87 each, against open interest of 8,884 contracts.
AAPL- Apple shares are down for the third consecutive trading session, losing 0.62% today. The call to put ratio in (AAPL) options is 1.68, led by sizable selling on call side.

Free Trial: If you would like to know more about premium content or you would like a free trial of … Read More »


2013-12-27 Unusual Options Activity (GRA) (SPY)

Posted on December 27th, by Mitchell Warren in Options Risk Management, Unusual Options Activity. Comments Off on 2013-12-27 Unusual Options Activity (GRA) (SPY)

 Unusual Options Activity

In today’s Unusual Options Activity Report we highlight a call rollout in the S&P 500 ETF SPDRs ETF (SPY) and a put rollout in W.R. Grace (GRA).

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2013-12-20 Smart Money Report (FB) (WPX)

Posted on December 20th, by Mitchell Warren in Free Articles, Options Risk Management, Smart Money Report, Unusual Options Activity. Comments Off on 2013-12-20 Smart Money Report (FB) (WPX)

Smart Money Report

FB- 6,750 Mar. 2014 $55 calls were bought for $4.35 each, against open interest of 74,513 contracts.
HYG- The Mar. 2014 $90/$94/$95 bull call spread risk reversal was put on 12,534 times for a $0.55 credit. Volume was above the open interest in all three options.
KBR- 2k Mar. 2014 $27 puts were sold for $0.70 each, against open interest of 361 contracts.
WPX- 8,100 Jan. 2014 $22.50 calls were bought for $0.40 each, against open interest of 19,155 contracts.
SPY- The S&P 500 SPDRs ETF broke out above the November high of $180.91 ahead of quadruple witching day, rising 0.72%. The put to call ratio in (SPY) options is 1.11, led by a rollout from 33k Dec 31 $181 calls (credit) into 33k Jan. 2014 $183 calls (debit).

Free Trial: If you would like to know more about premium content or you … Read More »


2013-12-16 Smart Money Report (ARO) (IAG)

Posted on December 16th, by Mitchell Warren in Free Articles, Options Risk Management, Smart Money Report, Unusual Options Activity. Comments Off on 2013-12-16 Smart Money Report (ARO) (IAG)

Smart Money Report

ARO- 2,500 Jan. 2014 $10 calls were bought for $0.15-$0.20 each, against open interest of 8,126 contracts.
IAG- 20k Jan. 2015 $3.50 puts were purchased for $0.80 each, against open interest of 4,664 contracts.
OLN- A rollout from 3,350 Jan. 2014 $30 calls (credit) into 3,350 Feb. 2014 $30 calls (debit). Volume was above the open interest in Feb. 2014 $30 calls.
WAG- The Jan. 2014 $52.50/$57.50 strangle was put on 2,500 times for a $2.17 debit. Volume was above the open interest in both options. Earnings are due out on 12/20.
SPY- Shares of the S&P 500 SPDRs ETF are off of the session highs, but remain higher by 0.61%. The put to call ratio in (SPY) options is 1.39, led by activity in the Jan. 2014 $172 puts.

Free Trial: If you would like to know more about premium content or … Read More »



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