ORM Market Commentary
The S&P 500 Drops For The Fifth Consecutive Day

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ORM Market Commentary
Key Technical Bounce In The S&P 500

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ORM Market Commentary
Is 2000 Or 2200 Next In The S&P 500?

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ORM Market Commentary
Option Trade Idea On The S&P 500 After Today’s Bounce

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ORM Market Commentary
Review Of The Major Indices

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Weekend Market Update
Stocks Rally To Close Out The Week At New Highs

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Weekend Market Update
China Drags Down US Equities To Finish The Week Lower

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Weekend Market Update
Stocks Hold Firm Ahead Of March Jobs Report

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ORM Market Commentary
S&P 500 Nears Key Support Levels

Today’s ORM Market Commentary is an example of what will be included in my ORM Equity/Option Trader Subscription Service for $9.99 per month. Email me at Mitchell@OptionsRiskManagement.com or tweet me @MitchellKWarren on StockTwits/Twitter if you’d like for me to notify you when it is available or if you have any other questions.

Notes: A strong U.S. dollar and the start of the Euro Zone QE program on Monday ($1.2T program) are weighing on the currency. Given that this program could last until September 2016 or beyond (2% inflation target), it is not out of the question to see parity against dollar by the time their quantitative easing has ended.

Top Trade Idea Of The Night (IMAX)

Notes: The $2.3B movie … Read More »

Weekend Market Update
Stocks Retrace From Record Highs After Jobs Report

Notable List Of Equities/ETFs I’m Tracking With Unusual Options Activity

Applied Materials (AMAT)- Massive open interest in the Apr 17 (monthly expiration) $23-$27 calls due to call purchases and bull call spreads in recent months. A buyer of 13,300 Apr 17 $25 calls for $0.75 each on February 3rd sent open interest above the 100,000 mark.
Air Products & Chemicals (APD)- A rollout from 2,460 June $145 calls ($13.70 credit) into 2,460 Sep $155 calls ($9.50 debit) on February 25th. Trader took profits on the June calls, but still sees upside north of $165 by September options expiration.
Boardwalk Pipeline Partners (BWP)- A rollout from 125,000 Mar $17 calls ($0.65 credit) into 45,000 Sep $18 calls ($1.70 debit) on February 19th and a rollout from 15,000 Jan 2015 $16 calls ($0.75 credit) … Read More »

Weekend Market Update
Looking At Near-Term Upside Potential In The S&P 500

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) Options Trade Ideas

Buy the (SPY) Mar 20 $210 call for $3.15 or better

Stop loss- $1.45

1st upside target- $6.00

2nd upside target- $8.00

And/Or

Sell the (SPY) Mar 20 $204/$205 bull put spread for a $0.20 credit or better

(Sell the Mar 20 $205 put and buy the Mar 20 $204 put, all in one trade)

Stop loss reference- A move below $205 in the ETF

Upside target- $0.05 or less

Maximum gain potential- 25%

Notes: I’m long (BGCP) shares for $9.14 each and Aug $7.50 calls for $1.80 each.

Domtar Holdings (UFS) Options Trade Idea

Buy the (UFS) Apr $45/$50 … Read More »

Weekend Market Update
Stocks Suffer Worst Two Month Performance Since 2012

Weekly S&P Sectors ETF Performance: Materials (XLB) -1.16%, Consumer Discretionary (XLY) -1.33%, Energy (XLE) -1.45%, Utilities (XLU) -1.67%, Healthcare (XLV) -2.35%, Industrials (XLI) -2.53%, Financials (XLF) -3.20%, Consumer Staples (XLP) -3.28%, Technology (XLK) -3.74%

Various Asset Classes: Spot Volatility Index (VIX) +25.87%, Oil (USO) +4.82%, Bonds (TLT) +2.60%, U.S. Dollar (UUP) -0.32%, Gold (GLD) -0.63%, Agriculture (DBA) -1.45%, S&P 500 (SPX) -2.77%, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) -2.87%, Nasdaq-100 (NDX) -3.03%, Silver (SLV) -5.54%, Natural Gas (UNG) -8.68%

Economic Data (2/2-2/6)

Monday: 8:30 A.M. EST- Dec Personal Spending (+0.3%), Dec Personal Income (-0.2%), Dec PCE Prices-Core (+0.0%); 10:00 A.M.- Jan ISM Index (54.7), Dec Construction Spending (+0.8%)

Tuesday: 10:00 A.M.- Dec Factory Orders (-2.0%); 2:00 P.M.- Jan … Read More »

Weekend Market Update
Equities Pullback From New All Time Highs

Weekly S&P Sectors ETF Performance: Energy (XLE) -0.72%, Healthcare (XLV) -0.72%, Consumer Discretionary (XLY) -0.83%, Financials (XLF) -0.88%, Materials (XLB) -1.18%, Industrials (XLI) -1.55%, Consumer Staples (XLP) -2.24%, Utilities (XLU) -2.29%, Technology (XLK) -2.48%

Various Asset Classes: Spot Volatility Index (VIX) +22.69%, Bonds (TLT) +2.34%, U.S. Dollar (UUP) +1.30%, Gold (GLD) -0.65%, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) -1.22%, S&P 500 (SPX) -1.46%, Silver (SLV) -1.56%, Nasdaq-100 (NDX) -1.94%, Agriculture (DBA) -2.26%, Natural Gas (UNG) -3.36%, Oil (USO) -4.28%

Economic Data (1/5-1/9)

Monday: 2:00 P.M. EST- Dec Auto, Truck Sales

Tuesday: 10:00 A.M.- Nov Factory Orders (-0.4%), Dec ISM Services (58.5)

Wednesday: 7:00 A.M.- Weekly MBA Mortgage Index; 8:15 A.M.- Dec ADP Employment Change (+230K); 8:30 A.M.- Nov Trade Balance (-$42.0B); 10:30 … Read More »

Weekend Stock Watchlist Update
How High Can The S&P 500 Go?

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Coca-Cola Has Been Unfazed By The Recent Market Weakness
My commentary on Coca-Cola (KO) for TraderPlanet

Shares of Coca-Cola (KO) are up 5.82% year to date and now starting to break out above the three month resistance level at $42.25. This breakout above the ascending triangle setups for a minimum measured move to $45.75 in the coming months ($42.25-$38.75=$3.50+$42.25=$45.75). This move is also significant since it is happening on increasing volume over the last two trading days and in the face of recent market volatility…Click here to read more on my commentary on Coca-Cola.

Stock Watchlist Update
Fake Out In The S&P 500, Now What?

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Stock Watchlist Update
Monitoring The SPX And The VIX

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Stock Watchlist Update
What To Make Of The S&P 500

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Weekend Market Update
12 Points Away From 2000 In The S&P 500

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Weekend Market Update
Turnaround Friday In The S&P 500

From the lows of Thursday night/Friday morning the S&P 500 futures rallied over 30 points to successfully test the key support level under the 100-day simple moving average (more info on the Weekend Stock Watchlist Update). All three of the major U.S. indices finished in positive territory for the week, but the Dow Jones Industrial Average’s (DJIA) 0.37% gain led the way. The Nasdaq-100 (NDX) and the S&P 500 (SPX) rose 0.22% and 0.33%, respectively. Volatility finished lower on the week as the spot Volatility Index (VIX) continued to struggle with the 17 level, falling 7.40% on the week.

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