CAT
2016-02-14 2 Trade Ideas Amidst The Stock Market Whipsaw: (CAT) (CINF)
2 Trade Ideas Amidst The Stock Market Whipsaw: $CAT $CINF
This post was originally published on SeeItMarket.com on February 10th
Trading in the equity markets has become increasingly more difficult since last summer, ending a series of buying opportunities with deeper corrections in the stock market and more volatility for stocks.
While the easy money has been made in the latest bull market, there still remains opportunity for investors on the long side and on the short side for those more adept to managing risk on bearish positions.
Below I look at two potential stock trade ideas that I am considering over the near-term (1 bullish and 1 bearish). And like I said, the key with any trade plan is managing risk and understanding when/where to get out.
The two trade ideas are Caterpillar (CAT) and Cincinnati Financial (CINF). Let’s start with CAT.
Caterpillar Stock Chart – … Read More »
2015-10-12 4 Underperforming Stocks To Consider Selling Into Strength
2015-07-27 Unusual Options Activity (CAT) (TWTR)
Unusual Options Activity
American Express (AXP)- There was a rollout from 3,260 July 31 $76 puts ($1.64 credit) into 3,260 July 31 weekly $74 puts ($0.55 debit). On July 22nd, they reported a 4% drop in Q2 revenue (worse than expected). The strong dollar is partially responsible for the weakness.
Ball Corp (BLL)- 2,428 Feb 2016 $72.50 calls were purchased for $2.60 and 2,428 Sep $62.50 puts were sold for $0.90-$0.95. Over 12,000 remain in open interest in the Feb $72.50 calls from buying in recent months. They are trying to acquire Rexam (would combine the two largest can makers in the world), but there are still regulatory hurdles to overcome. Earnings are due out on July 30th.
Caterpillar (CAT)- There was a rollout from 4,000 Aug 21 $76 puts ($2.00 credit) into 6,000 Sep 18 $70 puts ($0.81 credit). On July 23rd, … Read More »
2014-12-09 Unusual Options Activity (CAT) (MCD)
Unusual Options Activity
In today’s Unusual Options Activity Report we highlight call buying in Caterpillar (CAT) and a call rollout in McDonald’s (MCD).
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2015-12-03 Smart Money Report (C) (CAT)
Smart Money Report
APD- A rollout from 1,216 Jan 2015 $135 calls (credit) into 3,000 Jan 2015 $150 calls (debit). Volume was above the open interest in the Jan 2015 $150 calls. Bill Ackman’s Pershing Square Capital Management owns nearly 10% of Air Products & Chemicals shares, making it the 3rd largest holding for the hedge fund.
C- 10,275 Jan 9 weekly $53.50 puts were sold for $0.64-$0.65 each, against no previous open interest. Shares of Citigroup are nearing a test of the $55 resistance level from the beginning of the year.
CAT- 4,397 May 2015 $95 puts were bought for $4.25 each, against open interest of 4,337 contracts. Net put premium in Caterpillar is +$2M vs net call premium of +$102K (put to call ratio near 1.5:1).
HYG- The Jan 17 2015 $85/89 put spread was put on 30,000 times for a $0.60-$0.65 … Read More »
2014-11-05 Smart Money Report (BABA) (C)
Smart Money Report
BABA- 6,826 Nov 22 $115 calls were sold for $1.35 each, against open interest of 3,732 contracts. Yesterday, Alibaba reported Q2 EPS of $0.45 vs the $0.45 estimate revenue of $2.74B vs the $2.61B estimate (54% year over year increase).
C- 10,000 Jan 2015 $52.50 puts were sold for $1.36-$1.39 each, against open interest of 15,250 contracts. Citigroup book value in the latest quarter filing was $67.11 per share.
CAT- Roughly 10,000 Jan 2015 $105 calls were purchased for $1.15-$1.39 each, against open interest of 7,652 contracts. Shares of Caterpillar were unable to sustain a move above the 40-week SMA and are so far seeing sellers step in this week. The moving average is currently at $101.43.
FSLR- A rollout from 3,000 Nov 7 weekly $52.50 puts (credit) into 3,000 Nov 22 $54 puts (debit). Volume was above the open interest … Read More »
2014-05-07 Free Trade Of The Day Featuring Caterpillar (CAT)
Free Trade Of The Day Featuring Caterpillar (CAT)
Caterpillar (CAT) Options Trade Idea
Buy the (CAT) July $105/$110 call spread for a $1.85 debit or better
(Buy the July $105 call and sell the July $110 call, all in one trade)
Stop loss- $0.90
Upside target- $4.50
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2014-01-24 Smart Money Report (CAT) (XLF)
Smart Money Report
CAT- Caterpillar will report Q4 earnings before the bell on Monday morning. Analysts are looking for $1.29 in EPS and revenue of $13.6 billion. Option traders are pricing in a $3.22 move, or 3.74%, in either direction through next Friday’s close. The put to call ratio in (CAT) options is currently 1.30.
MTOR- The Aug. $7/$10/$13 bull call spread risk reversal was put on 10k times for a $0.55 debit. Volume was above the open interest in all three options. Earnings are due out on 1/29.
TSM- 10,000 July $17.50 puts were purchased for $1.45 each, against open interest of 1,996 contracts.
XLF- Over 60k Apr. $19 puts were bought for $0.15-$0.19 each, against open interest of 4,463 contracts.
XLV- 12,079 Feb. $55 puts were purchased for $0.44 each, against open interest of 2,209 contracts.
AAPL- Apple shares are are on pace to … Read More »
2013-10-22 Smart Money Report (BA) (CAT)
Smart Money Report
BA- Boeing is set to announce Q3 earnings before the bell tomorrow morning. Analysts are looking for $1.54 in EPS and revenue of $21.7 billion. The options market is implying a $4.00 move, or 3.26%, in either direction through Friday’s close. Call to put ratio in (BA) options is currently 1.08.
CAT- Another name to report in the morning is Caterpillar. Analysts are looking for $1.67 in EPS and revenue of $14.3 billion. Options traders are pricing in a $2.85 move, or 3.21%, in either direction through Friday’s close. The call to put ratio in (CAT) options is 2.08.
CSCO- 15,000 Nov. $24 calls purchased for $0.26-$0.27 each, against open interest of 60,972 contracts. Open interest has been rising steadily in these calls for the last two months.
DLTR- Over 1,900 Nov. $65 calls were purchased for $0.25 each, against open interest … Read More »
Dead Cat Bounce Or Is A Rally Approaching? (CAT)
Dead Cat Bounce Or Is A Rally Approaching?
My commentary on Caterpillar (CAT) for TraderPlanet: http://www.traderplanet.com/commentaries/view/165049-cat-dead-cat-bounce-or-is-a-rally-approaching/
2013-09-12 Free Trade of the Day (ACI)
Free Trade of the Day
Arch Coal (ACI)
Notes: If Arch Coal (ACI) closes higher tomorrow, consider the options trade idea below.
Arch Coal (ACI) Options Trade Idea
Buy the (ACI) Oct. $5/$5.50 Call Spread for a $0.18 debit or better
(Buying the Oct. $5 Call and selling the Oct. $5.50 Call, all in one trade)
Stop loss- None
Upside target- $0.50
Updates: Caterpillar (CAT) shares dropped 0.33% today, possibly putting in another lower high. Here’s an options trade idea to consider http://optionsriskmanagement.com/2013-09-10-free-trade-day-of-the-day-cat/
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2013-09-11 Free Trade of the Day (CRUS)
Free Trade of the Day
Cirrus Logic (CRUS)
Notes: Consider the trade idea below, if shares of Cirrus Logic (CRUS) close higher tomorrow.
Cirrus Logic (CRUS) Options Trade Idea
Buy the (CRUS) Oct. $22/$25 Call Spread for a $1.10 debit or better
(Buy the Oct. $22 Call and sell the Oct. $25 Call, all in one trade)
Stop loss- None
Upside target- $2.50-$3.00
Updates: Caterpillar (CAT) shares rose 0.60% today, so yesterday’s Free Trade of the Day is still in wait and see mode.
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2013-09-10 Free Trade of the Day (CAT)
Free Trade of the Day
Caterpillar (CAT)
Notes: If Caterpillar (CAT) shares close lower tomorrow, consider the options trade idea below.
Caterpillar (CAT) Options Trade Idea
Buy the (CAT) Oct. $80/$82.50/$85 Put Butterfly for a $0.45 debit or better
(Buy 1 Oct. $80 Put, sell 2 Oct. $82.50 Puts, and buy 1 Oct. $85 Put, all in one trade)
Stop loss- None
Upside target- $1.50
Updates: American Express (AXP) shares gapped above the resistance level we highlighted yesterday, so the options trade idea was scratched.
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2013-08-14-Stock Watchlist Update (Dead “CAT” Bounce)
Stock Watchlist Update
Dead “CAT” Bounce
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