Weekend Market Update


2015-04-02 Weekend Market Update (Stocks Hold Firm Ahead Of March Jobs Report)

Posted on April 2nd, by Mitchell Warren in Options Risk Management, Trade Ideas, Weekend Market Updates. Comments Off on 2015-04-02 Weekend Market Update (Stocks Hold Firm Ahead Of March Jobs Report)

Weekend Market Update
Stocks Hold Firm Ahead Of March Jobs Report

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2015-03-27 Weekend Market Update (Another Point Of View On Oil)

Posted on March 27th, by Mitchell Warren in Options Risk Management, Premium Articles, Trade Ideas, Weekend Market Updates. Comments Off on 2015-03-27 Weekend Market Update (Another Point Of View On Oil)

Weekend Market Update
Another Point Of View On Oil

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2015-03-22 Weekend Market Update (Watching For The Breakout In This European ETF)

Posted on March 22nd, by Mitchell Warren in Options Risk Management, Premium Articles, Trade Ideas, Weekend Market Updates. Comments Off on 2015-03-22 Weekend Market Update (Watching For The Breakout In This European ETF)

Weekend Market Update
Watching For The Breakout In This European ETF

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2015-03-13 Weekend Market Update (The Japanese Equity Rally Persists)

Posted on March 13th, by Mitchell Warren in Free Articles, Options Risk Management, ORM Market Commentary, Premium Articles, Trade Ideas, Weekend Market Updates. Comments Off on 2015-03-13 Weekend Market Update (The Japanese Equity Rally Persists)

Weekend Market Update
The Japanese Equity Rally Persists

Today’s ORM Market Commentary is an example of what will be included in my ORM Equity/Option Trader Subscription Service for $9.99 per month. Email me at Mitchell@OptionsRiskManagement.com or tweet me @MitchellKWarren on StockTwits/Twitter if you’d like for me to notify you when it is available or if you have any other questions.

Notes: Almost 5,000 Mar $39 calls were bought during the first two hours of trading on March 5th (majority for $0.80 each). As these calls have dropped, 2,000+ were bought today for $0.45-$0.55 each. Not to mention there were sizable purchases in the May $40 (3,100+ traded) and July $38 calls (1,200+ traded) for $1.10-$1.25 and $2.69-$2.70, respectively. The $6.7B home security company trades at a P/E ratio of 17.59x (Sep16 estimates) with 6.2% EPS growth, price … Read More »


2015-03-07 Weekend Market Update (Stocks Retrace From Record Highs After Jobs Report)

Posted on March 7th, by Mitchell Warren in Free Articles, Options Risk Management, ORM Market Commentary, Premium Articles, Weekend Market Updates. Comments Off on 2015-03-07 Weekend Market Update (Stocks Retrace From Record Highs After Jobs Report)

Weekend Market Update
Stocks Retrace From Record Highs After Jobs Report

Notable List Of Equities/ETFs I’m Tracking With Unusual Options Activity

Applied Materials (AMAT)- Massive open interest in the Apr 17 (monthly expiration) $23-$27 calls due to call purchases and bull call spreads in recent months. A buyer of 13,300 Apr 17 $25 calls for $0.75 each on February 3rd sent open interest above the 100,000 mark.
Air Products & Chemicals (APD)- A rollout from 2,460 June $145 calls ($13.70 credit) into 2,460 Sep $155 calls ($9.50 debit) on February 25th. Trader took profits on the June calls, but still sees upside north of $165 by September options expiration.
Boardwalk Pipeline Partners (BWP)- A rollout from 125,000 Mar $17 calls ($0.65 credit) into 45,000 Sep $18 calls ($1.70 debit) on February 19th and a rollout from 15,000 Jan 2015 $16 calls ($0.75 credit) … Read More »


2015-02-27 Weekend Market Update (Equities Hold Firm Despite Weaker Economic Data)

Posted on February 27th, by Mitchell Warren in Free Articles, Weekend Market Updates. Comments Off on 2015-02-27 Weekend Market Update (Equities Hold Firm Despite Weaker Economic Data)

Weekend Market Update
Equities Hold Firm Despite Weaker Economic Data

PowerShares DB U.S. Dollar Index Bullish ETF (UUP) Options Trade Idea

Buy the (UUP) Apr 17 $25/$26 bull call spread for a $0.35 debit or better

(Buy the Apr 17 $25 call and sell the Apr 17 $26 call, all in one trade)

Stop loss- None

1st upside target- $0.70

2nd upside target- $0.95

Notes: The bull call spread trade below is a more conservative way to way the massive Jan 2016 call action from today. In the event that the big buyer has a breakeven on his/her trade ($61.10-$61.20), then the trade idea below can see a near triple in terms of ROI.

Vanguard FTSE Europe ETF (VGK) Options Trade Idea

Buy the (VGK) Jan 2016 $56/$61 … Read More »


2015-02-20 Weekend Market Update (Venturing Across The Pacific For Investing Opportunities)

Posted on February 20th, by Mitchell Warren in Free Articles, Weekend Market Updates. Comments Off on 2015-02-20 Weekend Market Update (Venturing Across The Pacific For Investing Opportunities)

Weekend Market Update
Venturing Across The Pacific For Investing Opportunities

 

Notes: Check out the 2/14 version of the Weekend Market Update for a look at the S&P 500 (trade idea and analysis still hold true today).

iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ) Options Trade Idea

Buy the (EWJ) June $12 call for $0.67 or better

Stop loss- None

1st upside target- $1.25

2nd upside target- $1.80

Notes: The options market is pricing in a $6.50-$6.65 move through March options expiration in Westlake Chemical (WLK).

Westlake Chemical (WLK) Options Trade Idea

Buy the (WLK) Mar $65/$75 bull call spread for a $4.40 debit or better

(Buy the Mar $65 call and sell the Mar $75 call, all in one trade)

Stop loss reference- Close below the 10-week EMA … Read More »


2015-02-14 Weekend Market Update (Looking At Near-Term Upside Potential In The S&P 500)

Posted on February 14th, by Mitchell Warren in Free Articles, Options Risk Management, Weekend Market Updates. Comments Off on 2015-02-14 Weekend Market Update (Looking At Near-Term Upside Potential In The S&P 500)

Weekend Market Update
Looking At Near-Term Upside Potential In The S&P 500

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) Options Trade Ideas

Buy the (SPY) Mar 20 $210 call for $3.15 or better

Stop loss- $1.45

1st upside target- $6.00

2nd upside target- $8.00

And/Or

Sell the (SPY) Mar 20 $204/$205 bull put spread for a $0.20 credit or better

(Sell the Mar 20 $205 put and buy the Mar 20 $204 put, all in one trade)

Stop loss reference- A move below $205 in the ETF

Upside target- $0.05 or less

Maximum gain potential- 25%

Notes: I’m long (BGCP) shares for $9.14 each and Aug $7.50 calls for $1.80 each.

Domtar Holdings (UFS) Options Trade Idea

Buy the (UFS) Apr $45/$50 … Read More »


2015-02-07 Weekend Market Update (Major Indices Bounce Off Of Key Support Levels)

Posted on February 7th, by Mitchell Warren in Free Articles, Trade Ideas, Weekend Market Updates. Comments Off on 2015-02-07 Weekend Market Update (Major Indices Bounce Off Of Key Support Levels)

Weekend Market Update
Major Indices Bounce Off Of Key Support Levels

SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF Trust (DIA) Options Trade Idea

Buy the (DIA) Mar 20 $179/$182/$185 call butterfly for a $0.80 debit or better

(Buy 1 Mar 20 $179 call, sell 2 Mar 20 $182 calls, buy 1 Mar 20 $185 call, all in one trade)

Stop loss- None

Upside target- $182 in the ETF

Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLF) Options Trade Idea

Buy the (XLF) Mar 20 $24 call for for $0.65 or better

Stop loss- None

1st upside target- $1.30

2nd upside target- $2.00

Select Sector Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLU) Options Trade Idea

Buy the (XLU) Mar 20 $44/$47 bear put spread for a $1.15 debit … Read More »


2015-01-30 Weekend Market Update (Stocks Suffer Worst Two Month Performance Since 2012)

Posted on January 30th, by Mitchell Warren in Options Risk Management, Weekend Market Updates. Comments Off on 2015-01-30 Weekend Market Update (Stocks Suffer Worst Two Month Performance Since 2012)

Weekend Market Update
Stocks Suffer Worst Two Month Performance Since 2012

Weekly S&P Sectors ETF Performance: Materials (XLB) -1.16%, Consumer Discretionary (XLY) -1.33%, Energy (XLE) -1.45%, Utilities (XLU) -1.67%, Healthcare (XLV) -2.35%, Industrials (XLI) -2.53%, Financials (XLF) -3.20%, Consumer Staples (XLP) -3.28%, Technology (XLK) -3.74%

Various Asset Classes: Spot Volatility Index (VIX) +25.87%, Oil (USO) +4.82%, Bonds (TLT) +2.60%, U.S. Dollar (UUP) -0.32%, Gold (GLD) -0.63%, Agriculture (DBA) -1.45%, S&P 500 (SPX) -2.77%, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) -2.87%, Nasdaq-100 (NDX) -3.03%, Silver (SLV) -5.54%, Natural Gas (UNG) -8.68%

Economic Data (2/2-2/6)

Monday: 8:30 A.M. EST- Dec Personal Spending (+0.3%), Dec Personal Income (-0.2%), Dec PCE Prices-Core (+0.0%); 10:00 A.M.- Jan ISM Index (54.7), Dec Construction Spending (+0.8%)

Tuesday: 10:00 A.M.- Dec Factory Orders (-2.0%); 2:00 P.M.- Jan … Read More »


2015-01-24 Weekend Market Update (The S&P 500 Rallies On The ECB QE Announcement)

Posted on January 24th, by Mitchell Warren in Free Articles, Options Risk Management, Weekend Market Updates. Comments Off on 2015-01-24 Weekend Market Update (The S&P 500 Rallies On The ECB QE Announcement)

Weekend Market Update
The S&P 500 Rallies On The ECB QE Announcement

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) Options Trade Ideas

Sell the (SPY) Feb 20 $187.50/$188.50 bull put spread for a $0.15 credit or better

(Sell the Feb 20 $188.50 put and buy the Feb 20 $187.50 put, all in one trade)

Stop loss reference- A move below $188.50 in the underlying

Upside target- $0.05 or less

Maximum gain potential- 17.6%

And/Or

Buy the (SPY) Feb 20 $205/$212 bull call spread for a $2.75 debit or better

(Buy the Feb 20 $205 call and sell the Feb 20 $212 call, all in one trade)

Stop loss- $0.95

1st upside target- $5.50

2nd upside target- A move in the underlying to $212-$215

Read More »


2015-01-16 Weekend Market Update (Equities Snap Five Day Losing Streak On Options Expiration)

Posted on January 16th, by Mitchell Warren in Free Articles, Options Risk Management, Weekend Market Updates. Comments Off on 2015-01-16 Weekend Market Update (Equities Snap Five Day Losing Streak On Options Expiration)

Weekend Market Update
Equities Snap Five Day Losing Streak On Options Expiration

Notes: The trade below is a low risk way to get long the (QQQ) and potentially make up to 233% on a close at $105 on February options expiration. Look to close out at least half of the position on a move to $105 and let the rest ride into expiration (breakeven points are $102.20 and $107.80).

PowerShares QQQ Trust ETF (QQQ) Options Trade Idea

Buy the (QQQ) Feb 20 2015 $101/$105/$109 call butterfly for a $1.20 debit or better

(Buy 1 Feb 20 $101 call, sell 2 Feb 20 $105 calls, and buy 1 Feb 20 $109 call, all in one trade)

Stop loss- None

1st upside target- $2.40

2nd upside target- $3.60

Weekly … Read More »


2015-01-10 Weekend Market Update (US Stocks Fall For The Second Week In A Row Despite A Strong Jobs Report)

Posted on January 10th, by Mitchell Warren in Free Articles, Options Risk Management, Weekend Market Updates. Comments Off on 2015-01-10 Weekend Market Update (US Stocks Fall For The Second Week In A Row Despite A Strong Jobs Report)

Weekend Market Update
US Stocks Fall For The Second Week In A Row Despite A Strong Jobs Report

Notes: A weak dollar would also be beneficial to commodities such as soybeans.

Weekly S&P Sectors ETF Performance: Healthcare (XLV) +2.30%, Consumer Staples (XLP) +1.57%, Technology (XLK) -0.05%, Utilities (XLU) -0.13%, Materials (XLB) -0.51%, Consumer Discretionary (XLY) -1.03%, Industrials (XLI) -1.93%, Financials (XLF) -2.47%, Energy (XLE) -3.99%

Various Asset Classes: Silver (SLV) +4.37%, Bonds (TLT) +2.95%, Gold (GLD) +2.79%, Agriculture (DBA) +0.81%, U.S. Dollar (UUP) +0.74%, Natural Gas (UNG) +0.20%, Nasdaq-100 (NDX) -0.40%, Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) -0.54%, S&P 500 (SPX) -0.65%, Spot Volatility Index (VIX) -1.35%, Oil (USO) -8.09%

Economic Data (1/12-1/16)

Monday: No economic data

Tuesday: 10:00 A.M. EST- Nov JOLTS- Job Openings; 2:00 P.M.- Dec Treasury Budget … Read More »


2014-12-26 Weekend Market Update (The Santa Claus Rally Persists)

Posted on December 26th, by Mitchell Warren in Options Risk Management, Weekend Market Updates. Comments Off on 2014-12-26 Weekend Market Update (The Santa Claus Rally Persists)

Weekend Market Update
The Santa Claus Rally Persists

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2014-12-19 Weekend Market Update (Equities Snap Back Following The FOMC Meeting)

Posted on December 19th, by Mitchell Warren in Options Risk Management, Weekend Market Updates. Comments Off on 2014-12-19 Weekend Market Update (Equities Snap Back Following The FOMC Meeting)

Weekend Market Update
Equities Snap Back Following The FOMC Meeting

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2014-12-12 Weekend Market Update (Stocks Suffer The First Weekly Loss In Two Months)

Posted on December 12th, by Mitchell Warren in Options Risk Management, Weekend Market Updates. Comments Off on 2014-12-12 Weekend Market Update (Stocks Suffer The First Weekly Loss In Two Months)

Weekend Market Update
Stocks Suffer The First Weekly Loss In Two Months

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2014-12-06 Weekend Market Update (The Year End Trickle Up Rally Persists In Equities)

Posted on December 6th, by Mitchell Warren in Options Risk Management, Weekend Market Updates. Comments Off on 2014-12-06 Weekend Market Update (The Year End Trickle Up Rally Persists In Equities)

Weekend Market Update
The Year End Trickle Up Rally Persists In Equities

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2014-11-28 Weekend Market Update (Stocks Rally For The Sixth Week In A Row Heading Into December)

Posted on November 28th, by Mitchell Warren in Options Risk Management, Weekend Market Updates. Comments Off on 2014-11-28 Weekend Market Update (Stocks Rally For The Sixth Week In A Row Heading Into December)

Weekend Market Update
Stocks Rally For The Sixth Week In A Row Heading Into December

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2014-11-22 Weekend Market Update (Strong Finish Heading Into Thanksgiving)

Posted on November 22nd, by Mitchell Warren in Options Risk Management, Weekend Market Updates. Comments Off on 2014-11-22 Weekend Market Update (Strong Finish Heading Into Thanksgiving)

Weekend Market Update
Strong Finish Heading Into Thanksgiving

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2014-11-14 Weekend Market Update (Another Week, Another New High In Stocks)

Posted on November 14th, by Mitchell Warren in Options Risk Management, Weekend Market Updates. Comments Off on 2014-11-14 Weekend Market Update (Another Week, Another New High In Stocks)

Weekend Market Update
Another Week, Another New High In Stocks

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