KBH


2015-01-12 Pre-Earnings Analysis (AA) (KBH)

Posted on January 12th, by Mitchell Warren in Free Articles, Options Risk Management, Unusual Options Activity. Comments Off on 2015-01-12 Pre-Earnings Analysis (AA) (KBH)

Pre-Earnings Analysis

AA- Alcoa reports Q4 earnings after the bell tonight. Wall Street analysts are looking for $0.27 per share on revenue of $6.04B (only missed EPS estimates once in the last three years). The options market is pricing in a $0.88 move, or 5.45%, in either direction this week. Shares have rallied after earnings on 2 out of the last 3 reports, but that average is evened out when looking at the last two years of reports. The biggest option trade of the day was a buyer of 27,000 Jan 17 $14 puts for $0.04 (likely a closing of an existing position). Today, Nomura upgraded the stock to buy from neutral and raised their price target to $23 from $15. The $19B aluminum producer trades at a P/E ratio of 15.38x (2015 estimates) with 25% EPS growth, price to sales … Read More »


2014-09-10 Smart Money Report (ALNY) (KBH)

Posted on September 10th, by Mitchell Warren in Free Articles, Options Risk Management, Smart Money Report, Unusual Options Activity. Comments Off on 2014-09-10 Smart Money Report (ALNY) (KBH)

Smart Money Report

ALNY- 1,000 Dec $75 calls were purchased for $5.90 each, against open interest of 133 contracts. (ALNY) has Phase 2 data due out in the 4th quarter. 
KBH- 4,305 Oct $18 calls were sold for $0.32 each, against open interest of 3,597 contracts. Earnings are due out on 9/24. Shares of KB Home found resistance just below the $18 level last month.
MDC- 12,922 Oct $29 calls were sold for $0.45 each, against open interest of 4,384 contracts. The $29 level acted as resistance late last month/early this month. Typically trades 874 calls per day.
PTEN- 2,000 Sep $31 puts were sold for $0.46 each, against open interest of 406 contracts. Patterson-UTI Energy shares found support just above the $31 level earlier today.
ZION- A rollout from 5,000 Sep $30 calls (credit) into 5,000 Oct $30 calls (debit). Volume was above … Read More »


Call Buyers Look For 10%+ Upside In KB Home (KBH)

Posted on August 20th, by Mitchell Warren in Free Articles, Options Risk Management, Trade Ideas. Comments Off on Call Buyers Look For 10%+ Upside In KB Home (KBH)

Call Buyers Look For 10%+ Upside In KB Home (KBH)

Notes: On 6/27, KB Home (KBH) reported Q2 EPS of $0.27 vs the $0.21 estimate and revenue of $565M vs the $557.2M estimate. They delivered 1,797 homes in the quarter (down 3% year over year) and had an average selling price of $319,700.

KB Home (KBH) Options Trade Idea

Buy the (KBH) Oct $17 call for $1.25 or better

Stop loss- None

1st upside target- $2.00

2nd upside target- $3.00

Summer Sale: From now until the end of August, annual memberships are only $225 (25% off of the regular $299.95 price). This is available for new and existing members. Check out our updated 2014 options performance page here (all stock trades are posted on the Weekend Market Updates).

1 On 1 Options Mentoring: Learn more about … Read More »


2014-06-14 Free Trade Of The Day Featuring KB Home (KBH)

Posted on June 14th, by Mitchell Warren in Free Articles, Options Risk Management, Trade Ideas. Comments Off on 2014-06-14 Free Trade Of The Day Featuring KB Home (KBH)

Free Trade Of The Day Featuring KB Home (KBH)

Notes: KB Home (KBH) is set to announce Q2 earnings on Friday, June 27th. The stock has moved higher after earnings on four out of the last seven reports (higher on two out of the last three reports). They’ve beat consensus EPS estimates on seven out of the last eight quarters.

KB Home (KBH) Options Trade Idea

Buy the (KBH) July $17 call for $0.60 or better

Stop loss- None

1st upside target- $1.20

2nd upside target- $2.00

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2013-12-18 Smart Money Report (KBH) (ORCL)

Posted on December 18th, by Mitchell Warren in Free Articles, Options Risk Management, Smart Money Report, Unusual Options Activity. Comments Off on 2013-12-18 Smart Money Report (KBH) (ORCL)

Smart Money Report

KBH- KB Home will report Q4 earnings before the bell tomorrow morning. Analysts are looking for $0.45 in EPS and revenue of $663 million. The options market is implying a $0.90 move, or 5.03%, in either direction. Call to put ratio in (KBH) options is currently 1.14.
ORCL- Oracle is set to announce Q2 earnings after the bell tonight. Analysts are looking for $0.67 in EPS and revenue of $9.2 billion. Option traders are pricing in a $1.54 move, or 4.49%, in either direction. The call to put ratio in (ORCL) options is 1.28, led by a seller of 3,000 Feb. 2014 $34 calls for $1.26 each.
BBRY- 10,000 Jan. 3 weekly $6.50 calls were sold for $0.25 each, against open interest of 1,318 contracts. Earnings are due out on Friday.
WETF- 16k Jan. 2014 $17.50 puts were purchased for $1.20 … Read More »


2013-11-25 Free Trade of the Day (TWTR)

Posted on November 25th, by Mitchell Warren in Free Articles, Options Risk Management, Trade Ideas. Comments Off on 2013-11-25 Free Trade of the Day (TWTR)

  Free Trade of the Day
Twitter (TWTR)

Updates: KB Home (KBH) shares fell 1.96% today, putting in a lower high and lower low relative to Friday’s short-term top.

Free Trial: If you would like to know more about premium content or you would like a free trial of our service , email me at Mitchell@OptionsRiskManagement.com .

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2013-11-23 Free Trade of the Day (KBH)

Posted on November 23rd, by Mitchell Warren in Free Articles, Options Risk Management, Trade Ideas. Comments Off on 2013-11-23 Free Trade of the Day (KBH)

 Free Trade of the Day
KB Home (KBH)

Notes: KB Home (KBH) is set to announce Q4 earnings during the business week of 12/16-12/20.

KB Home (KBH) Options Trade Idea

Buy the (KBH) Dec. $16/$17 Put Spread for a $0.33 debit or better

(Buying the Dec. $17 Put and selling the Dec. $16 Put, all in one trade)

Stop loss- None

Upside target- $0.65-$1.00

Updates: Ford Motor (F) shares fell 0.47% on Friday, but still remain above support at the 100-day simple moving average.

Free Trial: If you would like to know more about premium content or you would like a free trial of our service , email me at Mitchell@OptionsRiskManagement.com .

Premium Subscription: Join now to gain access to the all of the stock watchlist updates (30-50 stock and option trade ideas like the one above … Read More »


2013-09-23 Smart Money Report (KBH) (LEN)

Posted on September 23rd, by Mitchell Warren in Free Articles, Options Risk Management, Smart Money Report, Unusual Options Activity. Comments Off on 2013-09-23 Smart Money Report (KBH) (LEN)

Smart Money Report

KBH- KB Home is set to announce Q3 earnings before the bell tomorrow morning. Analysts are looking for $0.21 in EPS and revenue of $569 million. Options traders are pricing in a $2.11 move, or 12.38%, in either direction through October options expiration. The call to put ratio in the Oct. options is in favor of the bulls at 2.34.
LEN- Another homebuilder to report in the morning is Lennar. Analysts are looking for $0.45 in EPS and revenue of $1.6 billion. The options market is implying a $3.13 move, or 9.13%, in either direction through October options expiration. Put to call to ratio in the Oct. options is roughly flat at 1.01.
MS- Over 11k Sep. 27 weekly $27.50 puts have traded today with the majority being bought on the offer, against open interest of 37 contracts. Shares of Morgan … Read More »



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